Fresh-Fill
0xbe40a70ff5c30f4c0371728677f09ec03167efa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$49.73
Total PnL
$-223.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.98
$0.98
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.66
$0.66
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
211 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.51
$0.51
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 7.5¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
91 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$3.27
$0.27
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$2.77
$-7.23
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.13
$-0.88
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
28 shares @ 17.9¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.68
$-3.32
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?$5.18Jun 12, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$65.51Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$24.70Jun 11, 20:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $9.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.