Vigorous-File
0xbe60a5a0e82ce5c6bfb2e1a7ccde3a9317352212
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$14.80
Total PnL
$-242.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
25 shares @ 45.2¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.80
$-5.20
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $102 end of November?
330 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-59.40
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
7 green Bitcoin hourly candles on March 23?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will BlackRock say "Stablecoin" during earnings call?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$30.00Jun 1, 23:56 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?$30.00May 30, 21:09 UTC
- SPLITWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?$30.00May 30, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$6.00May 25, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.78May 22, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.05May 22, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.70May 21, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.63May 20, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.95May 19, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.89May 19, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$3.85May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$22.20May 15, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$6.90May 12, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$2.65Apr 30, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$2.65Apr 30, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.13Apr 20, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.81Apr 20, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.40Apr 20, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.38Apr 20, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.07Apr 19, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 23:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".