Subtle-Tender
0xbea6b9bf9da0eee3e8cc84d2a2c772639b23ed8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$104.70
Total PnL
$-325.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
470 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.95
$-7.05
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
200 shares @ 34.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.00
$-35.00
- YES
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.50
$-6.50
- YES
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
150 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.25
$-0.75
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 28.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$5.00
$-6.56
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
352 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-44.98
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
100 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- YES
Eldor Shomurodov: 1+ goals
99 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLuis Díaz: 1+ goals$36.59Jun 18, 04:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-06-17?$51.72Jun 17, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5$33.49Jun 17, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuis Díaz: 1+ goals$15.27Jun 17, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEldor Shomurodov: 1+ goals$20.48Jun 17, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$40.00Jun 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLHarry Kane: 2+ goals$133.19Jun 17, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 2+ goals$20.51Jun 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$20.30Jun 17, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$30.38Jun 17, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5$83.33Jun 17, 03:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5$50.60Jun 16, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$66.67Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$40.48Jun 16, 19:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$99.80Jun 15, 14:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $31.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 04:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.