Light-Impropriety
0xbef590151ed587c5961eab098e07bd4e1335c3df
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.83
Total PnL
$-8.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Trump say "Super Bowl" this week?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
3 shares @ 29.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?
70 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
5 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
5 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
3 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.05May 18, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.04May 18, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Super Bowl" this week?$1.03May 18, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 18, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?$0.24May 18, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?$4.00May 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?$2.00Mar 29, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Feb 19, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00Feb 19, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 14, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 14, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$5.49Feb 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.01Feb 13, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?$1.00Feb 11, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".