Far-Haven
0xbf0f167adbc38c22286fdee440580f0c9f1b5b49
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$79.57
Total PnL
$-325.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.59
$0.59
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
16 shares @ 91.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.16
$0.16
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 shares @ 84.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$1.30Jun 17, 05:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$39.58Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?$1.01Jun 10, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?$1.01Jun 10, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?$1.01Jun 10, 20:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.