Far-Haven
0xbf0f167adbc38c22286fdee440580f0c9f1b5b49
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$49.09
Total PnL
$-325.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
16 shares @ 91.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.50
$0.50
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 shares @ 84.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$25.50Jul 14, 17:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?$1.02Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill STRC market cap hit $14B by June 30?$1.20Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?$1.03Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.04Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.02Jul 1, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $25.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.