0xbf52728065d218584bcb3c876b4a61ca92fa9cc4
0xbf52728065d218584bcb3c876b4a61ca92fa9cc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-148.47
Win rate
16%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
371 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
355 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-223.65
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
254 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
236 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
196 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
179 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-27.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
113 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
113 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
90 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-63.09
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$20.37Jun 24, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$18.08Jun 24, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?$10.44Jun 24, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spain (-1.5)$9.26Jun 24, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?$8.04Jun 24, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$4.13Jun 24, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$3.97Jun 24, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$0.13Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?$12.71Jun 22, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$22.26Jun 21, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$22.34Jun 21, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$11.01Jun 21, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$11.04Jun 21, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5$10.43Jun 21, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$0.22Jun 21, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$0.30Jun 21, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$6.41Jun 21, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?$0.13Jun 21, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$4.74Jun 21, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?$11.22Jun 21, 05:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
16% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
31 closed markets, 16% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.