Adolescent-Cold
0xbf66f99867b47a0e7634661787c9f1375d869859
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$365.30
Total PnL
$-384.24
Realised
$6.61
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
262 shares @ 28.2¢·now 27.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$72.07
$-1.76
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
139 shares @ 39.8¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$68.93
$13.57
- NO
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
159 shares @ 34.8¢·now 36.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$57.13
$1.90
- YES
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
86 shares @ 34.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$44.05
$13.98
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
106 shares @ 14.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$24.93
$9.72
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
18 shares @ 48.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.18
$5.36
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
14 shares @ 72.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.80
$2.80
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
84 shares @ 11.8¢·now 13.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.22
$1.27
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
37 shares @ 27.2¢·now 26.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.84
$-0.17
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
492 shares @ 6.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.10
$-21.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$3.95Jun 9, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$5.13Jun 9, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$5.39Jun 9, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$2.58Jun 9, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$2.37Jun 9, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.03Jun 9, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.12Jun 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.24Jun 8, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$1.05Jun 8, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$1.03Jun 8, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$2.08Jun 8, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.93Jun 6, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$4.69Jun 6, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$10.19Jun 6, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$3.09Jun 6, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$2.09Jun 6, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$5.63Jun 4, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$4.17Jun 4, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$10.17Jun 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$3.13Jun 4, 18:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.