Unsteady-Fennel
0xbf6967c85e73655b20b294781f4d28a06d98e8a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$-746.66
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$0.39
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.12
$-0.39
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
16901 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-446.81
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5035 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- PASSION UA
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner
1662 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-947.12
- MOUZ
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner
1063 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- LGD GAMING
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)
843 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-488.14
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
698 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-127.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$201.94Jul 1, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$130.22Jul 1, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $309.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 22:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.