Expert-Morning
0xbf6b9370e7b794c39ba346d35bbc6335c7b37199
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$105.60
Total PnL
$-29.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
165 shares @ 10.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.85
$11.91
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
135 shares @ 18.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$22.35
$-2.65
- JUSTIN GAETHJE
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
78 shares @ 18.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$15.94
$1.94
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
17 shares @ 65.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.68
$0.68
- YES
UK Recession in 2026?
27 shares @ 41.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$10.20
$-0.80
- YES
Japan recession in 2026?
31 shares @ 35.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$8.01
$-2.99
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.93
$0.93
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-1.05
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6 shares @ 33.2¢·now 26.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-0.40
- NO
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in June?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.29
$-3.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10?$10.32Jun 10, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10?$10.33Jun 10, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 8?$36.67Jun 9, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$13.53Jun 7, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$10.00Jun 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$5.08Jun 6, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 8?$25.32Jun 5, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 5?$16.64Jun 5, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 5?$10.16Jun 5, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$26.02Jun 5, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK Recession in 2026?$11.32Jun 5, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan recession in 2026?$11.36Jun 5, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 3?$16.46Jun 4, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 3?$9.38Jun 3, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $1.96Jun 3, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$24.97Jun 3, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$7.15Jun 3, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$49.00Jun 3, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$14.34Jun 2, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $2.00Jun 2, 03:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $12.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 04:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.