0xbf91518f324dcdf5ef710b8a31b5754f0ca3ac81
0xbf91518f324dcdf5ef710b8a31b5754f0ca3ac81
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$6.63
Total PnL
$-43.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
44 shares @ 4.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.81
$0.81
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.5¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
13 shares @ 7.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?$1.03May 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$1.03May 13, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1.00Apr 30, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.00Apr 30, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.00Apr 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.17Apr 25, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Rocha vs Ruiz$0.27Apr 17, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Rocha vs Ruiz$0.73Apr 17, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 16, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 16, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Apr 16, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandrova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5$1.00Apr 16, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Apr 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$1.00Apr 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 14, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.