Both-Lord
0xbfae9bdade0248e2657150a06106c695874fbe66
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$795.75
Total PnL
$-148.28
Realised
$-54.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
704 shares @ 53.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$355.52
$-18.85
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
315 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$314.92
$43.68
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
108 shares @ 77.2¢·now 96.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$104.19
$20.64
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1142 shares @ 8.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$21.12
$-75.93
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
100 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
54 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
24 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?
21 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?
21 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$0.07Jun 14, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$13.34May 28, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$100.60May 14, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$101.48May 14, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$4.05Feb 3, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?$5.00Jan 22, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$103.70Jan 5, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$2.43Jan 2, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$146.30Jan 1, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$307.40Jan 1, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$271.24Jan 1, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.32Jan 1, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$71.94Jan 1, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$19.24Jan 1, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$46.70Jan 1, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$17.52Oct 21, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$5.93Oct 21, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$13.40Oct 20, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$99.00Oct 20, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5000 in September?$10.00Oct 3, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $47.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.