0xbfca4c7522bfa7ebfb6ab7759d994f7a66cd6ab1
0xbfca4c7522bfa7ebfb6ab7759d994f7a66cd6ab1
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$114.48
Total PnL
$-11.47
Realised
$6.96
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
10 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$10.00
$0.75
- YES
FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?
10 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$10.00
$0.79
- YES
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$10.00
$1.40
- NO
Will Prodzy win the Legend Trade Series?
8 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$7.91
$0.81
- NO
Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-04-15?
8 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$7.78
$0.70
- OVER
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$7.33
$1.83
- NO
Will Jadoodoo win the Legend Trade Series?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$5.01
$0.55
- YES
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 9?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$5.00
$0.95
- NO
Will RNK Veres Rivne win on 2026-04-15?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$5.00
$0.40
- NO
Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-05-11?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$5.00
$1.05
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.