Wrong-Regime
0xc02938278927e1d9262eb65334d9a3d25ed921c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.1K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$2.5K
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
3922 shares @ 90.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.9K
$364.37
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.0K
$54.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2025 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.0K
$6.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 30?
52 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$52.31
$0.05
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
30 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.00
$0.12
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
35 shares @ 54.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.27
$4.37
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
30 shares @ 82.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.65
$-7.95
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.33
$-1.67
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
8128 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
Recent activity
- SPLITStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.0KMay 30, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.9KMay 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 30?$52.26May 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.3KMay 30, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 28?$9.99May 29, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 28?$39.99May 29, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$62.57May 29, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$24.60May 28, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$29.88May 28, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 28?$39.54May 28, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 28?$9.88May 28, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.0KMay 28, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$86.48May 28, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$86.48May 28, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$14.0KMay 28, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$11.4KApr 28, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$18.87Apr 28, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 28, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.0KApr 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$10.11Apr 28, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.