Boiling-Caliber
0xc033ccd9a5b6e1f97b980d340fb69c87fe15b6e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$6.60
Total PnL
$-4.58
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- NO
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$0.03
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 28?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$50.00Jun 23, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$50.00Jun 20, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?$200.97Apr 21, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?$139.17Apr 21, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$54.94Apr 21, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$55.00Apr 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?$201.00Apr 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?$140.00Apr 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?$138.60Apr 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?$140.00Apr 18, 06:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 26, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$250.00Mar 25, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$239.76Mar 25, 08:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 25, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$240.00Mar 24, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$250.00Mar 24, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$249.50Mar 24, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$250.00Mar 24, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win fewer than 60 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.11Mar 24, 07:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 23, 00:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $85.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.