Understated-Pike
0xc03ce4d8af842ca6251ac57228b3ffb166ed50af
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-91.6K
Realised
$-25.7K
Win rate
38%
169 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
216 shares @ 3.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$216.00
$208.80
- YES
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
29290 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$205.03
$-841.03
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
161 shares @ 3.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$142.49
$136.74
- YES
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18800 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$122.20
$-24.67
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$116.55
$-233.45
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
704 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$115.81
$104.08
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.00
$97.14
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
700 shares @ 1.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$78.75
$67.08
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
700 shares @ 1.7¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$67.55
$55.88
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
190 shares @ 0.8¢·now 33.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$62.98
$61.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.15Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.02Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.02Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.60Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.83Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.15Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.02Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 169 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.