Realistic-Setback
0xc0bee276ed8d46b8e884071eb40e28d61ff56577
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$104.11
Total PnL
$-15.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
90 shares @ 55.3¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$55.58
$5.58
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
71 shares @ 70.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.53
$-1.47
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2.67Jun 15, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$0.00Jun 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2.03Jun 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?$50.89Jun 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50.59Jun 9, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$8.93May 6, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$20.94May 6, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$30.00May 4, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$30.00May 4, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$62.50May 2, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$64.26May 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$32.31Apr 22, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$40.00Apr 22, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$50.00Apr 21, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$50.00Apr 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$20.00Apr 6, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$0.00Apr 1, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.00Apr 1, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$40.00Apr 1, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$40.00Mar 31, 23:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $40.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.