Straight-Scout
0xc0bff7089f8536447e3d963fcbaa2d07e3e12032
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$91.7K
Total PnL
$9.5K
Realised
$42.1K
Win rate
85%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
25067 shares @ 81.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$22.2K
$1.9K
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
33641 shares @ 49.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.0K
$2.5K
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
9515 shares @ 73.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.6K
$1.6K
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
14052 shares @ 58.7¢·now 57.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.0K
$-218.06
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
40000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.8K
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20635 shares @ 36.4¢·now 22.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.7K
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
3861 shares @ 86.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$3.8K
$459.75
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5452 shares @ 44.2¢·now 61.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.4K
$941.20
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
6000 shares @ 44.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$270.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4862 shares @ 43.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.1K
$14.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$1.4KJul 25, 02:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.79Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$3.52Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$3.85Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$17.29Jul 24, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$62.40Jul 24, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.79Jul 24, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$26.69Jul 24, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$21.98Jul 24, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$28.26Jul 24, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.49Jul 24, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Jul 24, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$7.85Jul 24, 02:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.80Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$3.50Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$6.54Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.19Jul 23, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$50.24Jul 23, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.11Jul 23, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$72.93Jul 23, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
74/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
40 closed markets, 85% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $88.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.