Neighboring-Ereader
0xc0e3d7704335510e2f5214c01eba48641c3b9d82
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$48.16
Total PnL
$-496.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
96 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
66 shares @ 30.4¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$23.38
$3.38
- YES
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
931 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
771 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
357 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will a transgender women athlete compete at the 2026 Winter Games?
357 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
178 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$108.11Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$54.47Jul 23, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$50.20Jul 23, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$119.30Jul 23, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$100.96Jul 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$16.16Jul 23, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$113.64Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$100.37Jul 20, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$25.74Jul 20, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$20.56Jul 20, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$25.64Jul 20, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMConnecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury$67.32Jul 20, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury$50.64Jul 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$100.48Jul 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$119.05Jul 20, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$108.70Jul 20, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$109.89Feb 15, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$100.00Jan 13, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$100.00Jan 13, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$100.00Jan 13, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $75.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.