Black-Nibble
0xc107cf14c7eaf5582c6c1d5dd899d91cfc65fd54
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-117.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
163 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
109 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
53 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
42 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$14.00May 7, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$5.00May 7, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$18.75May 7, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$1.50Apr 2, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $370-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$18.00Mar 20, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$20.00Mar 19, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$10.00Mar 19, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$20.00Mar 19, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$20.00Mar 19, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$10.00Mar 12, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $13.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.