Cultured-Frown
0xc123a2074eae8fde13ac105bcb0c952fd179115c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$245.30
Total PnL
$-702.91
Realised
$-14.03
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
239 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$237.69
$60.83
- YES
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
419 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.30
$-110.83
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$-0.21
- NO
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.04
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.97
$-0.97
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 9.0¢·now 89.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.89
$0.80
- NO
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 37.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.79
$0.42
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.55
$-0.37
- YES
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
325 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-113.75
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
293 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-187.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?$1.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$1.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?$1.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$1.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$2.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMZama FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$3.11May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?$4.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?$105.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?$117.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMSentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?$125.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?$276.00May 7, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? $6.08Apr 21, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$213.36Apr 21, 03:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 31, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 30, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 29, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 28, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $109.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.