Forsaken-Yarmulke
0xc163fbf59accb8f157931c724d88849f32105a1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-607.08
Realised
$-121.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
7218 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-125.69
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
845 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.43
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
522 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-59.83
- YES
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 10?
344 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.78
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
300 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.28
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?
250 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.59
- YES
Will Democrats win 65 seats or more in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election?
225 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.25
- NO
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
190 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.11
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
181 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
151 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.09May 26, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$308.30May 26, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.99May 13, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.12May 13, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.13May 13, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.40May 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.13May 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.05May 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$3.92May 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.08May 12, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.99May 12, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.02May 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.08May 12, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.01May 12, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.06May 12, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.87May 12, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.93May 12, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$9.00May 1, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$3.50Apr 17, 18:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $12.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 23:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".