Worldly-Dump
0xc18b10a8d864d1d2ef71a58259eb810d52173917
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
84%
117 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
5164 shares @ 6.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$387.26
$41.67
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
1316 shares @ 21.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$322.32
$45.16
- YES
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
2599 shares @ 11.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$194.91
$-99.31
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3320 shares @ 7.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$182.60
$-78.38
- YES
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
2856 shares @ 7.6¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$142.81
$-73.24
- YES
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
182 shares @ 67.6¢·now 60.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$109.34
$-13.60
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5496 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.17
$-37.65
- YES
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?
412 shares @ 32.6¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$98.93
$-35.44
- YES
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31?
416 shares @ 1.1¢·now 21.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$91.01
$86.44
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
420 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.30
$6.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027?$40.00Jul 28, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027?$42.00Jul 28, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?$5.42Jul 28, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?$0.58Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$16.80Jul 28, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.99Jul 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$14.28Jul 28, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$1.02Jul 28, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$20.00Jul 28, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HYPE flip SOL by December 31?$1.10Jul 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.00 in July?$8.76Jul 28, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$8.07Jul 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$0.51Jul 28, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$4.42Jul 28, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?$1.25Jul 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?$39.08Jul 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe$6.30Jul 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$6.70Jul 28, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$3.76Jul 28, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$4.14Jul 28, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
84% win rate over 117 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
117 closed markets, 84% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 117 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.