Loading shell…
AIExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe

Probability

19¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-25.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+16.3pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 25pp over 24h

    Now 19¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 32.5¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5984.8h

    LOW
  • 15:11Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -22.1pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -21.9pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -9.3pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -23.1pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -26.7pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -28.7pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -28.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -29.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -19.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -19.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -19.8pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 8.6pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.9pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.1pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 41.6pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 33.3pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 36.2pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 38.4pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 43.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 44.1pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 35.6pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 38.3pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 38.5pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 36.4pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (32.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).