Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe
Probability
19¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-25.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+16.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 25pp over 24h
Now 19¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 32.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5984.8h
- 15:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.1pp
to 19¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.9pp
to 19¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.3pp
to 19¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 19¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.7pp
to 19¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.5pp
to 19¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.7pp
to 19¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 19¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.8pp
to 19¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.8pp
to 19¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.8pp
to 19¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.8pp
to 19¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.6pp
to 47¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 48¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.1pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.6pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.3pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.2pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 38.4pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.1pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.6pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 38.3pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 38.5pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.4pp
to 39¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (32.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).