0xc18c71ad3e1bece3050a7c75c8b90b4e73adf342
0xc18c71ad3e1bece3050a7c75c8b90b4e73adf342
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$42.62
Total PnL
$-56.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$8.14
$-0.20
- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$8.08
$-0.26
- NO
Will Vuk Jeremić be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.46
$0.00
- NO
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.43
$-0.03
- NO
Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.39
$-0.07
- NO
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.10
$0.01
- DFX PEEK
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.08
$0.03
- NO
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$3.04
$-0.03
- NO
Will James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.02
$-0.03
- NO
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 70.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.44
$-1.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$0.00Jul 1, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$2.48Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$0.00Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$2.48Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$0.00Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$2.48Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$0.00Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$2.49Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$3.09Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$0.00Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$3.12Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on June 30?$3.47Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on June 30?$3.52Jun 30, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?$3.10Jun 30, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$6.19Jun 30, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$2.48Jun 30, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$2.48Jun 30, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$2.48Jun 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$0.40Jun 30, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 23:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.