0xc18c71ad3e1bece3050a7c75c8b90b4e73adf342
0xc18c71ad3e1bece3050a7c75c8b90b4e73adf342
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$49.44
Total PnL
$-52.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$8.12
$-0.22
- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$8.09
$-0.25
- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
4 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.64
$0.10
- NO
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.55
$0.01
- NO
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.46
$0.00
- NO
Will Vuk Jeremić be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.46
$-0.00
- NO
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.46
$-0.00
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 41.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.45
$-4.89
- NO
Will Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 96.4¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.35
$-0.11
- NO
Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.01
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$2.93Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Electric" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?$2.93Jun 13, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$2.93Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$2.93Jun 12, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 0-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2.93Jun 12, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 22 be less than 80?$2.93Jun 12, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2.93Jun 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 22 be less than 80?$2.93Jun 11, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B?$0.00Jun 11, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B?$2.93Jun 11, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 10?$2.93Jun 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B?$2.93Jun 11, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill PPI YoY be below 3.0% in May?$2.93Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$2.94Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be below 3.0% in May?$2.93Jun 11, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 10?$2.93Jun 11, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$2.93Jun 10, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$2.95Jun 10, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.