Supportive-Divalent
0xc1a7042a73fb93ebb1f616124e93ea22e7f9e9ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$32.31
Total PnL
$-227.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.85
$-71.15
- YES
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
107 shares @ 18.8¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.47
$-16.53
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have less than 7 launches in January?
486 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?
304 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 24, 2026?
269 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of January?
57 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $29.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.