Immediate-Explanation
0xc1aef128cd11b77c8dc3ad51703c18714d71f6d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$231.39
Total PnL
$-152.09
Realised
$-6.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
300 shares @ 53.0¢·now 33.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.45
$-59.55
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300 shares @ 25.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.15
$-29.85
- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
25 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$24.96
$1.96
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$14.50
$0.70
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.03
$-0.07
- NO
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.85
$0.01
- NO
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.51
$-0.17
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 32.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.30
$-9.90
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.65
$-2.75
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
100 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$43.65May 26, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $24.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.