Illustrious-Marimba
0xc285ea2e07746551048ee6cee3fd8b90b5b1f5d3
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$90.73
Total PnL
$-7.62
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
136 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 26.2¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.69
$-5.75
- YES
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
23 shares @ 79.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$17.43
$-0.57
- YES
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
23 shares @ 77.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$17.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
37 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.21
$0.40
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
34 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
7 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
3 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$18.129h ago
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$4.0210h ago
- YIELD$0.0010h ago
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.2012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$2.8615h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.652d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.202d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score$18.115d ago
- TRADESELLClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$11.755d ago
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.145d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$6.096d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.006d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.008d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 15d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".