0xc29ecedb1f9c40aade3afee50a7bd9ea433c3068
0xc29ecedb1f9c40aade3afee50a7bd9ea433c3068
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$58.10
Total PnL
$46.57
Realised
$2.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
33 shares @ 0.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.81
$19.81
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
13 shares @ 33.3¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.78
$4.38
- YES
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?
9 shares @ 0.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$6.17
$6.17
- YES
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 1, 2027$4.95
$4.95
- YES
Will Paulo Costa fight Carlos Ulberg next?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 1, 2027$4.55
$4.55
- YES
Will Jan Blachowicz fight Carlos Ulberg next?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 1, 2027$4.45
$4.45
- YES
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?
9 shares @ 0.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.43
$2.43
- YES
Will Brian Holman win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year?
6 shares @ 0.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.65
$1.65
- YES
Will Jim Stagnitta win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year?
4 shares @ 0.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.62
$1.62
- YES
Will Chris Bates win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year?
6 shares @ 0.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.32
$1.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Club Aurora win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jul 28, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?$0.00Jul 28, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.8% and 6.1%?$0.00Jul 28, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$0.00Jul 28, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$0.00Jul 28, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$0.00Jul 28, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 6.1%?$0.00Jul 28, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 4.0%?$0.00Jul 28, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.00Jul 28, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill a player representing Morocco be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 28, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 28, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$0.00Jul 28, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?$0.00Jul 28, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.5% and 5.8%?$0.00Jul 28, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill June 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$0.00Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Aurora vs. Club ABB end in a draw?$0.00Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- CONVERSIONMSI 2026 Winning Region$9.48Jul 9, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.