Outlying-Helicopter
0xc2a4d92c0639b63a598b873b0a8db6c16b252e3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$20.03
Total PnL
$0.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.01
$0.01
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 20?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?$5.00May 20, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.00May 20, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?$5.00May 20, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 20?$5.00May 20, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.01May 20, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$5.01May 20, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$5.01May 20, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$5.06May 20, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$5.00May 9, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$5.00May 9, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$5.00May 9, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00May 9, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.99Apr 24, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.00Apr 24, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.98Apr 7, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$5.00Apr 7, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.00Apr 7, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?$5.01Apr 7, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$5.02Apr 7, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$5.04Apr 7, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.