Avaricious-Cascade
0xc2c784e4d6e004334674328bab061137a13729c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
183
Open notional
$9.56
Total PnL
$-717.15
Realised
$7.35
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 183- HABS
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$3.24
$1.30
- YES
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.57
$0.53
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$2.25
$0.27
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 21.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.09
$-1.96
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.41
$-0.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
387 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-42.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
127 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
72 shares @ 69.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.64
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
54 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
40 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMCeltics vs. 76ers$1.07Apr 28, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMOilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5$1.29Apr 28, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?$1.74Apr 28, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?$1.78Apr 28, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$3.96Apr 28, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$4.30Apr 28, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$4.31Apr 28, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$4.80Apr 28, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMOilers vs. Ducks$15.91Apr 28, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5$0.96Apr 27, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Rockets (-5.5)$0.28Apr 27, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$0.97Apr 27, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$0.91Apr 27, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Ducks$0.85Apr 27, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Ducks$0.12Apr 27, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Ducks$0.78Apr 27, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Ducks$0.20Apr 27, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Ducks$1.02Apr 27, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$0.99Apr 27, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$0.71Apr 27, 01:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.