Decimal-Ginseng
0xc2ca8a8cd7a75d6dd5b0f11f90ecee762eff4419
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$312.45
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- LG TWINS
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins
33 shares @ 91.0¢·now 80.8¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$26.79
$-3.36
- NO
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$25.18
$5.19
- NO
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
23 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$22.97
$0.47
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
22 shares @ 90.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$21.22
$1.23
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
21 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
21 shares @ 93.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 77.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.17
$-0.84
- NO
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$18.13
$-1.87
- YES
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
22 shares @ 91.1¢·now 80.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$17.71
$-2.29
- NO
Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
16 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$15.70
$0.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$37.97Jul 25, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$30.00Jul 24, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$39.73Jul 24, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$27.03Jul 24, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$3.17Jul 24, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?$12.26Jul 23, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?$17.92Jul 23, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Independiente Medellín 0 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama?$62.82Jul 23, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMPyunik Girls vs. Wrexham AFC: Wrexham AFC O/U 0.5$21.74Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 3 - 1 Universitatea Craiova CS?$62.59Jul 22, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 2 Universitatea Craiova CS?$62.66Jul 22, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 2 Universitatea Craiova CS?$60.03Jul 22, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 5.5$60.00Jul 22, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPyunik Girls vs. Wrexham AFC: Wrexham AFC O/U 0.5$20.74Jul 22, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 3 - 1 Universitatea Craiova CS?$60.15Jul 22, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Independiente Medellín 0 - 2 CR Vasco da Gama?$60.43Jul 22, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?$22.53Jul 22, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEM0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?$33.11Jul 21, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$34.09Jul 18, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMMalik Tillman: 3+ shots$25.64Jul 17, 10:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $29.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.