Hasty-Earmuffs
0xc2d6f8bdaa59239b57cdfc42e5d9148cffa72ee9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-428.49
Realised
$-14.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$42.94Jul 10, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$78.59Jul 10, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$93.96Jul 10, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.96Jul 10, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?$133.71Jul 10, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?$114.52Jul 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?$232.23Jul 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$248.41Jul 10, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$264.68Jul 10, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$311.94Jul 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$391.45Jul 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$412.25Jul 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$417.25Jul 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$149.12Jul 10, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$46.16Jul 10, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$8.60Jul 10, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?$158.40Jul 10, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?$90.20Jul 10, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $159.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.