Wasteful-Comment
0xc2d7fef7f24d389cd28d52b48e6ecb172490deb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
188
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
50%
171 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 188- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
1025 shares @ 58.4¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$579.26
$-19.81
- NO
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
625 shares @ 78.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$496.86
$9.24
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2120 shares @ 20.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$371.00
$-58.65
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
409 shares @ 81.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$316.91
$-14.20
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
297 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$294.45
$15.25
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
515 shares @ 57.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$254.93
$-38.59
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
185 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$183.91
$7.16
- NO
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
235 shares @ 70.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$176.40
$9.88
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
225 shares @ 75.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$163.14
$-7.09
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
180 shares @ 84.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$161.10
$9.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.30Jun 14, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 14, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$42.28Jun 14, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.79Jun 14, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$4.05Jun 14, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.95Jun 14, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$0.52Jun 14, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$6.19Jun 14, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.56Jun 14, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$4.65Jun 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$7.40Jun 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.94Jun 14, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$9.13Jun 14, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.20Jun 14, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.90Jun 14, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$38.70Jun 14, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$7.50Jun 14, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$9.00Jun 14, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$670.24Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$504.63Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 03:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 171 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.