Hairy-Lemon
0xc2f263223af140c6bc0f3c0738dffede12b59c80
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$32.22
Total PnL
$-117.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
30 shares @ 43.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.47
$8.47
- YES
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.78
$-5.22
- YES
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
68 shares @ 14.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.06
$-6.94
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.74
$-0.26
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 10?
538 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 13?
198 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 13?
167 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 13?
103 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 6, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$3.00Apr 29, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$13.30Apr 29, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 17?$13.44Apr 18, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 16?$2.49Apr 17, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?$6.20Apr 17, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 15?$1.75Apr 16, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?$2.21Apr 16, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 16?$1.00Apr 15, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16?$1.00Apr 15, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 16?$1.00Apr 15, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17?$1.00Apr 15, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 17?$1.00Apr 15, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 17?$5.00Apr 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 17?$5.00Apr 15, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 16?$1.00Apr 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 16?$1.00Apr 15, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.