Definite-Newsstand
0xc2f61ec3b86d38294f491b112b4609d09974126f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-176.06
Realised
$13.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 22?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 26?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 24?
4484 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on February 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
296 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-131.94
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Pistons
10 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$131.94Apr 12, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$124.61Apr 12, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$294.50Apr 5, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$301.83Apr 5, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$288.47Mar 29, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$286.51Mar 29, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$273.41Mar 27, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$3.54Mar 27, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 14?$6.00Mar 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 14?$6.00Mar 14, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Clippers$1.00Mar 13, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Trail Blazers$1.00Mar 13, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Warriors$1.00Mar 13, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Rockets$1.00Mar 13, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Pistons$1.00Mar 13, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Mavericks$1.00Mar 13, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Pacers$1.00Mar 13, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Raptors$1.00Mar 13, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$183.53Mar 5, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 3?$4.52Mar 3, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $49.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 04:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".