Calculating-Capitulation
0xc324137f596f24fe74d1308ec540a92b49fb9076
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$11.66
Total PnL
$-1.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$1.90
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.99
$2.49
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.67
$0.46
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- NO
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
5 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$2.02Jun 5, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$0.38Jun 1, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.20May 20, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.85May 15, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?$3.18Apr 30, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$2.70Apr 22, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.50Apr 13, 06:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.