Decisive-Spokeswoman
0xc3262aeb0bd81deab067726635f5b5bd39201db1
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
20
Open notional
$14.5K
Total PnL
$2.4K
Realised
$694.68
Win rate
94%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
5677 shares @ 75.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.2K
$890.58
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
4410 shares @ 94.5¢·now 97.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.3K
$118.03
- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1448 shares @ 61.1¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$215.31
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
859 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$592.94
$-17.68
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
646 shares @ 60.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$429.68
$38.40
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
687 shares @ 49.6¢·now 53.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$363.94
$23.16
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
470 shares @ 69.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$348.10
$23.71
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
481 shares @ 60.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$334.42
$45.50
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
882 shares @ 39.3¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$330.74
$-15.60
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1200 shares @ 24.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$330.00
$40.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.1950m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.302h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.302h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.162h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.792h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.122h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$6.252h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$21.933h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$9.573h ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$12.744h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$29.534h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.304h ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$75.424h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.135h ago
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$9.636h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$5.278h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.128h ago
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$89.798h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$9.968h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$14.208h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $157.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13h ago
- Last active
- 50m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.