Decisive-Spokeswoman
0xc3262aeb0bd81deab067726635f5b5bd39201db1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$19.5K
Total PnL
$5.4K
Realised
$2.8K
Win rate
95%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
10500 shares @ 77.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.3K
$2.2K
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
1500 shares @ 87.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.3K
$4.14
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
900 shares @ 92.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$832.95
$-0.27
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
750 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$742.12
$11.58
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
711 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$690.80
$22.35
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
660 shares @ 92.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$630.30
$22.33
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
842 shares @ 59.5¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$597.57
$96.99
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
493 shares @ 86.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$455.80
$30.58
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
450 shares @ 89.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$437.63
$35.49
- NO
Grok 4.4 released by June 15?
363 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$359.89
$5.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$26.00Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$46.30Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$34.20Jun 13, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$34.35Jun 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$38.50Jun 13, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$28.29Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$63.00Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25.29Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$7.50Jun 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$7.50Jun 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$12.40Jun 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.02Jun 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.71Jun 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$84.00Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.49Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$71.70Jun 13, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$17.70Jun 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$29.50Jun 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$53.70Jun 13, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.09Jun 13, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $18.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.