Quarrelsome-Riddle
0xc3495dcb1fa3b073c0b37462b611f5466fa982d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$120.40
Total PnL
$25.09
Realised
$8.97
Win rate
43%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next PMQ?
15 shares @ 24.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.08
$2.48
- NO
Will Rodri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 54.7¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.13
$0.16
- YES
Will Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next PMQ?
8 shares @ 31.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.06
$2.55
- YES
Will Starmer say "Record Funding" during the next PMQ?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.02
$2.87
- YES
Will Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?
9 shares @ 12.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.98
$2.89
- NO
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
7 shares @ 62.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$3.83
$-0.37
- NO
Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?
6 shares @ 58.2¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.63
$-0.04
- YES
Will Starmer say "Deep" or "Deeply" during the next PMQ?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.40
$2.00
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?
9 shares @ 17.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.35
$1.75
- YES
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?
8 shares @ 17.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.34
$2.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?$3.61Jun 13, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.85Jun 13, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16?$0.50Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16?$0.09Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16?$0.21Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.25Jun 13, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.75Jun 13, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.18Jun 13, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.40Jun 13, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.82Jun 13, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.28Jun 13, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.41Jun 13, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Condolences" during the next PMQ?$0.50Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17?$0.02Jun 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.24Jun 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.40Jun 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.23Jun 13, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?$0.31Jun 13, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17?$0.02Jun 13, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 06:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.