Babyish-Imbalance-Voyage
0xc37d9210eac66af1ed1bbf3efccc5364481c96cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-172.63
Realised
$-59.63
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
344 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$343.47
$26.77
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
290 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.2¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$278.61
$1.54
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
292 shares @ 84.2¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$238.96
$-7.18
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
219 shares @ 91.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$204.38
$4.38
- NO
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
172 shares @ 93.6¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$159.90
$-0.98
- YES
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
155 shares @ 91.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$154.67
$13.57
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
155 shares @ 93.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$147.56
$1.79
- NO
Iran leadership change by July 31?
133 shares @ 94.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$132.13
$6.22
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
172 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.63
$4.29
- NO
Iran leadership change by September 30?
123 shares @ 89.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$112.84
$2.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?$9.08Jul 28, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$70.00Jul 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$10.25Jul 28, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$1.85Jul 28, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$4.70Jul 28, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$1.39Jul 28, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?$9.13Jul 28, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$33.95Jul 28, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$34.58Jul 28, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$1.62Jul 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$68.39Jul 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?$22.35Jul 28, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by July 31?$62.96Jul 28, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?$8.00Jul 28, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$10.56Jul 28, 11:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$10.78Jul 27, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$70.00Jul 27, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$37.39Jul 27, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$3.48Jul 27, 17:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $23.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.