Incomplete-Employment
0xc3b2a4de2839b306a39b39bc143b624ceea206a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$533.62
Total PnL
$23.40
Realised
$-0.53
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$185.00
$9.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
150 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$144.07
$13.57
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
100 shares @ 90.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$95.35
$4.45
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
50 shares @ 75.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$50.00
$12.40
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in July?
40 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$40.00
$0.72
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
49 shares @ 59.9¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.90
$-17.21
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?
7 shares @ 86.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.30
$1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Aug 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 20, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $27.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.