Cavernous-Burn
0xc3b40d5a9e65ce23dc082f91f1b839c1536cc3f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$295.32
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
290 shares @ 35.6¢·now 69.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.82
$97.54
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
290 shares @ 21.5¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.65
$-8.83
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
290 shares @ 17.6¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.95
$-35.15
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
380 shares @ 8.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.65
$-23.19
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
351 shares @ 4.8¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.39
$-12.30
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
290 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.75
$-3.58
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
290 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$-3.70
- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
290 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.20
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
290 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.91
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
290 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-1.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$9.07May 27, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$160.00May 20, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$150.00May 14, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.82May 13, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$80.00Apr 30, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$180.00Apr 30, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$60.00Apr 30, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$60.00Apr 30, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$20.00Apr 28, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude go down 12+ times in April?$60.00Apr 26, 09:15 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.04Apr 23, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$20.00Apr 20, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$130.00Apr 20, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$50.00Apr 18, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$10.00Apr 14, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$20.00Apr 11, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?$20.00Apr 10, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?$20.00Apr 10, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?$150.00Apr 10, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?$299.33Apr 10, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 01:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 10:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".