Immaculate-Product
0xc3e47dd79346216a72d1634fc8ed13d20658e7f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$13.73
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-54.48
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
300 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$8.70
$-1.30
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
273 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.18
$-27.82
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
269 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.02
$-7.98
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
238 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-9.17
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
21691 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-638.96
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?
4533 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
3750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$47.84May 15, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$153.64May 12, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$10.00Apr 23, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$10.00Apr 21, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$15.00Apr 21, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$30.00Apr 21, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$10.00Apr 21, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$50.00Apr 21, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mother Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$10.00Apr 16, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$285.24Apr 15, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$2.00Apr 15, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$100.00Apr 15, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$20.00Apr 15, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$10.00Apr 15, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$81.87Apr 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$107.74Apr 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$50.00Apr 12, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Apr 12, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$304.75Apr 12, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$15.00Apr 11, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $67.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.