Muted-Shoreline
0xc3eaf2bdd7893231ba76b685b3b97af0353e7556
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$100.94
Total PnL
$-979.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
146 shares @ 68.4¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$66.49
$-33.51
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
128 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.45
$-2.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 23?
15223 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-48.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 24?
5718 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 23?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 24?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $86,000 on November 24?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 23?
4441 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2PM ET
972 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$99.00Mar 17, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$37.00Feb 17, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$100.00Feb 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 17, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMOver $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$39.47Jan 11, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$0.00Jan 11, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?$10.00Jan 6, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$15.00Jan 6, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$132.31Dec 31, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$86.00Dec 30, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 29?$66.26Dec 30, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$20.00Dec 27, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$10.00Dec 27, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$15.00Dec 27, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 12?$26.83Dec 12, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 12?$5.00Dec 12, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 12?$25.35Dec 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 12?$15.00Dec 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 12?$10.00Dec 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 1?$40.00Nov 30, 19:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $24.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".