Insignificant-Sugar
0xc3ed3a1aaea63c451991ba415151a635544485a3
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$58.47
Total PnL
$-47.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.56
$-2.44
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
32 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$6.16
$0.16
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
29 shares @ 27.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.60
$-2.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.71
$2.71
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.38
$1.38
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 15.4¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15 shares @ 20.1¢·now 20.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp May 8, 2026$2.66
$1.66
- YES
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.47
$0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$2.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$1.007h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$10.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$1.048h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.048h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.058h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.108h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.108h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$2.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$1.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$2.088h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 7?$1.008h ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$1.0015d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$41.5821d ago
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$20.0021d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 50d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
