Knowing-Coalition
0xc40f3c51d4f9bbd9cf0aef0f1c41a1de9af737ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.50
Total PnL
$1.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Solana reach $180 in August?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 23.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?$1.00Dec 18, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?$1.00Aug 22, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Aug 15, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $180 in August?$1.00Aug 4, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 11:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".