Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?
Probability
59¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+11.5pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$72.81
Probability (last 7 days)
+19.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 12pp over 24h
Now 59¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 774h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 45.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 774.1h
- 17:53SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 774h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 66¢.
Biggest hourly move: +26.0pp at 14:00 (to 74¢).
Show all 36 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · +14.5pp → 66¢
- 15:00 · +21.0pp → 74¢
- 14:00 · +26.0pp → 74¢
- 12:00 · +20.5pp → 73¢
- 11:00 · +24.0pp → 73¢
- 09:00 · +18.5pp → 70¢
- 08:00 · +9.5pp → 65¢
- 06:00 · +5.0pp → 66¢
- 03:00 · +13.0pp → 71¢
- 02:00 · +14.0pp → 73¢
- 00:00 · +8.5pp → 68¢
- 22:00 · +5.5pp → 65¢
- 18:00 · +7.0pp → 65¢
- 1d ago · +7.0pp → 65¢
- 1d ago · +14.0pp → 74¢
- 1d ago · +9.5pp → 67¢
- 1d ago · +10.5pp → 68¢
- 1d ago · +13.0pp → 72¢
- 1d ago · +8.5pp → 66¢
- 1d ago · +11.0pp → 69¢
- 1d ago · -8.5pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 49¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 54¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +8.5pp → 56¢
- 2d ago · +6.5pp → 54¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 50¢
- 2d ago · -22.0pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · -12.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +15.0pp → 54¢
- 2d ago · +17.0pp → 56¢
- 3d ago · +9.0pp → 48¢
- 3d ago · +13.0pp → 52¢
- 3d ago · +14.5pp → 53¢
- 3d ago · +16.5pp → 55¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Serie A after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by Serie A following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (45.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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