Mellow-Fee
0xc445ef5a4a39702e6ec41b274ce22e2101493f35
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
226 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 30?
116 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 5?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$5.79Apr 16, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$2.24Feb 8, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Feb 8, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Feb 8, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$4.00Jan 18, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?$11.21Jan 18, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?$19.23Jan 18, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?$10.00Jan 14, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.14Jan 14, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?$8.38Jan 14, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?$9.00Jan 11, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.55Jan 11, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.68Jan 11, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.91Jan 11, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.89Jan 11, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.93Jan 11, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.