Memorable-Shaw
0xc44660585c315bd930925e047d70bdfc29c5d9aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$204.82
Total PnL
$-906.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
207 shares @ 39.8¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$98.18
$15.94
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
206 shares @ 52.4¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$61.81
$-46.12
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
242 shares @ 20.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.62
$-16.92
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
124 shares @ 43.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.04
$-45.73
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
67 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.16
$-4.49
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
3110 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
1864 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
901 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.50
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
559 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.60
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
466 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-97.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$53.77Apr 5, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$82.24Apr 2, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$13.81Apr 1, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$107.93Mar 29, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$17.70Mar 29, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$244.97Mar 1, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$176.86Mar 1, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$20.08Jan 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$8.65Jan 10, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$17.21Jan 10, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$35.73Jan 10, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$26.97Jan 10, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by August 15?$0.00Jan 10, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$0.00Jan 10, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$0.00Jan 10, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$97.78Jan 10, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$78.80Jan 5, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$61.90Jan 5, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.00Jan 5, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMX Money launch in 2025?$25.00Jan 5, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $33.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 24, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".