Adored-Borrowing
0xc44a0e315c7381030f114023cca27b174d248da6
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-493.65
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
2130 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.91
- YES
Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?
1681 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-245.23
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
1413 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-84.80
- YES
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
1145 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-375.12
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
1114 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
1072 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
1012 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
737 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-235.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
339 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 13, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$28.84May 7, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$28.84May 7, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$34.63May 7, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$34.63May 7, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$86.27May 4, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$86.09May 4, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$20.00May 4, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$20.18May 4, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.85May 4, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$95.00May 4, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$34.00May 3, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$0.00Apr 30, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$84.80Apr 26, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$4.91Apr 23, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.00Apr 23, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$99.72Apr 23, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$44.00Apr 22, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$5.83Apr 22, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$37.70Apr 22, 19:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $90.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 22:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.