Unlucky-Pupa
0xc4594a1710d419a8ec936a3230045664d2670d59
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$77.11
Total PnL
$-987.66
Realised
$-84.58
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
181 shares @ 59.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$65.04
$-41.56
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.40
$1.40
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
23 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.87
$-0.18
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
10 shares @ 19.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.45
$-0.55
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
7 shares @ 13.8¢·now 19.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- NO
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
31660 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-192.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
1000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
613 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-379.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$3.35Jun 13, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5$5.00Jun 13, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.00Jun 12, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2.60Jun 12, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jun 12, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5$3.04Jun 12, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?$1.05Jun 12, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$2.03Jun 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 12, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 12, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?$1.01Jun 12, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$2.15Jun 12, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$3.00Jun 12, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.78Jun 12, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$2.53Jun 9, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?$1.03Jun 3, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWales vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5$1.22Jun 2, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?$1.04Jun 2, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$5.17Jun 2, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.